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The Rahn Curve: A Bigger Welfare State = Less Prosperity

The Rahn Curve: A Bigger Welfare State = Less Prosperity

by Dan Mitchell | Dec 20, 2025 | Big Government, Blogs, Economics, Government Spending

Let’s start today’s column with a refresher look at my video on the Rahn Curve. Though maybe it should be called the Armey Curve. Or even the Barro Curve since Professor Robert Robert Barro from Harvard graphed the relationship between government...
Voters Sometimes Like Big Government…When Someone Else Is Paying

Voters Sometimes Like Big Government…When Someone Else Is Paying

by Dan Mitchell | Dec 18, 2025 | Big Government, Blogs, Taxation, Welfare and Entitlements

The United States faces a huge long-run fiscal problem because government is growing too fast. Entitlement programs are the main problem. For example, a rising burden of Social Security spending means that outlays will exceed revenues by $65.8...
Demographic Decline, Part II: America’s Unaffordable Young-to-Old Welfare State

Demographic Decline, Part II: America’s Unaffordable Young-to-Old Welfare State

by Dan Mitchell | Dec 16, 2025 | Blogs, Economics, Welfare and Entitlements

In Part I of this series, I explained that modern welfare states are in deep trouble because of falling birth rates. The core of the problem is that entitlement programs generally tax young people to subsidize old people. And fewer babies today means fewer workers...
Excessive Government Spending in Western Nations

Excessive Government Spending in Western Nations

by Dan Mitchell | Dec 15, 2025 | Big Government, Blogs, Government Spending

I’m not a fan of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). The Paris-based bureaucracy is dominated by Europe’s left-leaning welfare states, so it unsurprisingly has a statist policy agenda (especially on fiscal...
The Sensible Swiss Strike Again, Overwhelmingly Rejecting Class Warfare

The Sensible Swiss Strike Again, Overwhelmingly Rejecting Class Warfare

by Dan Mitchell | Dec 1, 2025 | Blogs, Taxation

Congratulations to Switzerland, the “improbable success” that is home to the world’s most sensible voters. The left put a referendum on the ballot to impose a national death tax and the people of Switzerland overwhelmingly voted...
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