Are we really supposed to believe that Ireland’s lower tax rates didn’t help turn the “Sick man of Europe” into the Celtic Tiger?
Are we really supposed to believe that New Zealand’s tax cuts didn’t contribute to that nation’s remarkable turnaround?
Are we really supposed to believe that countries such as Italy, Finland, Belgium, etc, are examples of supply-side reform?
Perhaps the strongest evidence against the Hope-Limberg report is that serious left-leaning economists didn’t give it any attention, presumably because they recognized it was based on cherry-picked data and laughable assumptions.
So after the initial burst of (predictable) media publicity, it quickly faded from the public discourse.
But, like a bad penny, it has reappeared. In her Washington Postcolumn, Jennifer Rubin resuscitates the Hope-Limberg study as part of an attack on pro-growth tax policy.
…the claimed economic benefits of tax cuts for the rich don’t hold up under scrutiny. …A 2020 paper by David Hope of the London School of Economics and Julian Limberg of King’s College London examined “18 developed countries — from Australia to the United States — over a 50-year period from 1965 to 2015…” It turns out that “per capita gross domestic product and unemployment rates were nearly identical after five years in countries that slashed taxes on the rich and in those that didn’t, the study found.” …Hope and Limberg…confirmed there is “strong evidence that cutting taxes on the rich increases income inequality but has no effect on growth or unemployment.” …Sold as a prosperity booster, trickle-down tax cuts for the very rich do not increase prosperity, growth or employment for the average American.
The economists who wrote these studies obviously would disagree with Rubin’s regurgitated analysis.