The Argentine government in January saw its first monthly budget surplus in nearly 12 years, as new President Javier Milei continues to push for strong spending cuts, the Economy Ministry announced. January was the first full month in office for Milei, a far-right libertarian who took office in December, and it ended with a positive balance for public-sector finances of $589 million at the official exchange rate, the government said late Friday. The figure includes payment of interest on the public debt. …Milei, an economist, has advocated sharp cuts in spending and a reduction of public debt on the way to a dollarization of the economy. ..The year 2023, the final year of the center-left government of Alberto Fernandez, ended with a 211 percent inflation rate. With poverty affecting 45 percent of the population, Milei has predicted an economic rebound within three months.
Now for some bad news. What you just read is a report on the initial skirmish in a long war.
Given my unfamiliarity with Argentina’s fiscal system, I don’t know how much progress he’s made. But I’m guessing he only solved 5-10 percent of the problem with his executive actions.
The main battle will involve whether Milei can now somehow convince a hostile legislature to approve structural reforms. And that won’t be easy.
That being said, he presumably has some ability to veto budgets (do they have “government shutdowns” in Argentina?).