One of the best ways of reducing crime is to make anti-social behavior more expensive. Simply stated, the goal is to alter the cost-benefit analysis of criminals.
This doesn’t mean, by the way, that I’m assuming that bad guys are geniuses who put together spreadsheets or engage in elaborate calculations. Instead, I’m simply suggesting that crime becomes less attractive if thugs have a feeling that they’ll be more likely to get caught and/or more likely to get harsh punishment.
And, as I explained in my IQ test for liberals and criminals, bad guys also will be less likely to commit crimes if they know there’s a non-trivial chance that they may get shot. I know that would change my cost-benefit analysis if I was a crook.
But it’s not just my satirical IQ test. You get the same results from real experts such as John Lott and David Kopel.
This is why there’s less crime when law-abiding people own guns (as humorously depicted here and here by Chuck Asay).
Unfortunately, an army base is one place where bad guys can feel confident that they’ll find unarmed victims.
This is worth discussing since, for the second time, we have a sad example of innocent – and disarmed – people getting killed at Fort Hood.
Glenn McCoy has a cartoon that aptly summarizes this issue.
I’m sure some statists would argue that both the cartoon and my analysis are wrong because the killers (Ivan Lopez earlier this month and Major Hasan back in 2009) were crazy and simply wanted to kill the maximum number of people.
But experts have shown that even nutjobs engage in planning and figure out that they will have more ability to kill if they choose venues where potential victims are disarmed.
And even if we hypothesize that some crazy people might be too unstable to make those calculations, what’s wrong with allowing people to carry weapons on a military base so they can defend themselves?!?
But I’m not holding my breath expecting the ideologues in the Obama Administration to change their anti-Second Amendment policies.
Though at least we can be happy that more and more statesare acknowledging reality and expanding concealed-carry rights and implementing stand-your-ground laws.